There were 23 days in which the daily low temperature was in the 80s. February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. This is the most of any calendar month thus far in the 21st century. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 43% chance that they will end up above normal and a 24% chance that they will end up below normal. RELATED: Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. 12News+ showcases live video throughout the day for breaking news, local news, weather and even an occasional moment of Zen showcasing breathtaking sights from across Arizona. The Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), a well-established and innovative inter- and transdisciplinary climate research team, is looking for a Program Manager to join our team. The Farmers' Almanac is out with their Extended Winter Outlook for 2021-2022 and is calling for a "Frosty Flip-Flop Winter". The last day of 2022 was dry with afternoon temperatures in the upper 60's to lower 70's. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch (0.33") with isolated spots recording up to 1.00". The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. Mostly cloudy. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. While this isn't always the case every time La Nia is present, it is representative of the average impacts. National Weather Service All NOAA. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite, We say absolutely! US Dept of Commerce The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. World; United States; Arizona; Weather in Phoenix; Weather in Phoenix in November 2022. Discover our growing collection of curated stories on Washington State. The forecast for precipitation is a 49% chance that they will be up below normal and a 18% chance that they will end up above normal. Spring ended on a streak of 63 consecutive days with no rain being recorded at the International airport. Nearly 10,000 power outages were reported in Arizona Wednesday as a winter storm passed through the state, one of many places in the U.S. dealing with winter Apr. HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, November 29, 2021 Amounts ranged from 1.00" to 4.50" with localized amounts up to 6.50". Additionally the airport monthly total extended the streak of below normal rainfall for March to "18" straight. The table below shows the breakdown for highs, low maximums and high minimums. Outside of work, you can likely find her curled up on the sofa with a hot cup of coffee, watching a crime TV show or scary movie. Here in the Valley, showers will be off and on throughout overnight. Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers Almanac,said there wasnt much particularly interesting or new forecasted for the area this fall, with generally fair weather from September through October. This cold front brought a cooler air mass with morning lows on the 25th being in the upper 30's to mid 40's. The water year is below normal since October 1st at 6.16" which ranks as the 17th driest water year to date with one month left in the water year calendar. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. The full-year 2022 figures for these figures came to $2.33 and $2.11 per diluted share, for y/y gains of 16%.The funds from operations figures are important because they fund UDR's dividend. The average yearly temperature, through the end of May, of 64.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 10th warmest on record, tied with 2000. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. HOME > Outlook Maps >Seasonal Forecast Discussion. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.81" which is around a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 53rd driest September on record, tied with 1949. June climate data across southeast Arizona, Summer climate data across southeast Arizona. Updated 7:08PM Weather Associated Press 2022 was 5th warmest year on record 2022 has officially been declared the fifth warmest year on record. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? Winter, 2022. For us across the Southwest, La Nia typically brings drier-than-normal conditions during the winter. The forecast panned out well for precipitation as it was drier than normal while February came in cooler than normal thanks to the average monthly low temperature being 4.7 below normal. The February outlook for the area, issued by the Climate Prediction Center on January 31st, called for a 47% chance that temperatures would be above normal & 20% chance that temperatures would be below normal. As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. OnlyInYourState may earn compensation through affiliate links in this article. including sunrise/sunset and moon phases. Toggle navigation. Long-Range Weather Forecast 2023 for Places in Arizona Ajo, AZ Apache Junction, AZ Arizona City, AZ Avondale, AZ Avra Valley, AZ Benson, AZ Big Park, AZ Bisbee, AZ Buckeye, AZ Bullhead City, AZ Camp Verde, AZ Casa Grande, AZ Casas Adobes, AZ Catalina, AZ Catalina Foothills, AZ Cave Creek, Maricopa County, AZ Chandler, AZ Chinle, AZ Chino Valley, AZ Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, has varied widely across the metro area. The most frigid weather will likely arrive in late January, and it could be rather brutal. Meanwhile, the Southwest and much of the Rockies are most likely to see December end up warmer than usual. This is when you get these delivered to your e-mail of choosing AND get your own micro-climate alert system based on your zone for my winter and storm alert products that are not posted on social media when issued. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. (Weather station: Payson, USA). April climate data across southeast Arizona. Weekly sea-surface temperature anomalies in degrees Celsius from early Sept. through early Oct. 2022. One record temperature was set during the month. Three temperature records (one high & two warm lows) were set or tied. Saturday marks the peak of the warming trend and temperatures will slowly decline throughout the next week. August 29, 2022 NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Forecast The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA) makes long-range forecasts each month. The last time back-to-back Octobers' were BELOW normal was back in the 1980's when there was a string of SEVEN straight BELOW normal Octobers' from 1980 to 1986. "Seasonal outlooks help communities prepare for what is likely to come in the months ahead and minimize weather's impacts on lives and livelihoods," NOAA said. The first eight days of the month were on the quiet side before turning active between the 9th and 13th thanks to deeper tropical moisture moving across the area from Hurricance Kay, which moved northwest off the Baja Coast. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 103 on the 6th to a low of 65 on the 17th. The snowpack in the Upper Colorado River Basin was at 133 percent of the 30-year historical average as of Monday, and sits at 101 percent of what the basin has received on average through an . Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of two-thirds of an inch (0.67") is two inches below normal and ranks as the 9th driest January through May period on record. Best for planning. Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. View detailed forecast, WeatherTAB 2023. It's the 13th April with ZERO rainfall. The yearly total to date currently stands as the 7th driest year with one month left in 2022. La Nia - the periodic cooling of the equatorial Pacific Ocean waters - is in play as one of the primary drivers for the winter outlook once again this year. Which City Is the Worst for Fall Allergies This Year? NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022; Local Programs. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded just over a half an inch /0.53"/. Weather Forecast Office. Severe thunderstorms hit portions on the metro area on the 21st and 26th. The new year began on a wet note when a winter storm impacted the area as the calendar turned from 2021 to 2022. The average yearly temperature, through the end of August, of 73.5 is 1.0 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record. The first month of 2023 might start out a little mild on the country's eastern half, but it's expected to be stormy and very, very cold by the middle and end of the month. The seasonal average temperature of 71.0 goes into the record books as the 5th warmest Spring on record. Geiger explained that the almanacs predictions come from a formula created by the first editor of the publication, who was a mathematician and an astronomer. Katie Lawrence is a Southeast Texas native who graduated 18th in her high school class with a GPA of 4.25. The silver lining is that when warmer weather finally does arrive, we'll be even more grateful for it. Additionally, there were five record temperatures that were either set or tied. The stream has the latest alert links, a map of alerts and where, and articles. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. The water year rainfall total 2.03" ranks as the 9th driest on record. One exception was the pandemic year of 2020, when travel all but came to a. If youre planning to visit Arizona in the near future, we highly recommend that you review the 14 day weather forecast for Arizona before you arrive. And for only the 9th time since 1895, rainfall was recorded on both New Year's Eve & Day with the most recent being in 2018-19 & 2016-17. On top of that, conditions change so rapidly from week to week that making predictions is as good as visiting a fortune teller. Monthly Weather - Phoenix, AZ As of 7:03 am MST Feb View Apr Sun mon tue wed thu fri sat 26 57 37 27 63 42 28 63 48 1 62 37 2 55 41 3 60 39 4 67 44 Fri 03 | Day 60 2% SW 5 mph. According to its forecast map, Arizonas fall theme will be cool with decent precipitation.. 2022 monsoon season in Arizona expected to be above-normal - good news for state agriculture . Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area which is always the case during the summer thunderstorm season. Colder weather is predicted to come in between Nov. 16 and 19 and settle in for good come Nov. 24 to 27. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a. Odds are tilted toward a colder than average winter from the Northern Plains and Great Lakes to northern New England. READ MORE Monday, March 28, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- March 28, 2022 The video covers both precipitation and temperature predictions, polar vortex, arctic blasts, typical snowfall, and regions that will see wamr and dry conditions for winter 2022 - 2023. NWS Two-thirds of climatological Fall is in the books and 2022 ranks as the 15th warmest & 56th driest on record with one month left to go. 3rd Coldest January- February on Record in 2021. However there were isolated spots that recorded up to a three-quarters of an inch /0.75"/. The December 2021 forecast went exactly as thought, word for word in both regions. With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. Check out the full 2022-23 Extended Winter Weather Forecast from The Farmer's Almanac below. The monthly average temperature of 85.8 is 1.1 BELOW normal ranks as the 38th warmest August on record. A high minimum temperature of 59 on the 4th broke the old warm low for the date of 56 from 1946. There were six days of triple digit high temperatures which is slightly above normal. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 85 on December 1st to a low of 26 on February 3rd. Free Long Range Weather Forecast for Flagstaff, Arizona. It will modify the jet stream pattern over North America and the Pacific Ocean, extending its reach to the rest of the world. The atmosphere's response, which ultimately matters for our weather patterns, may resemble a winter without a La Nia. The combined two-day rainfall totals for New Year's Eve/Day across the metro area ranged from 0.50" to 1.50" with the bulk of the rain occurring on New Year's Eve. The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. You can enjoy epic winter activities like Arizona Snow Bowl, and you can even go sledding iFarmers' Almanac winter forecastn Arizona (or snow tubing in Arizona) too. Precipitation across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 1.75" to 4.00" with the highest totals occurring north of Tangerine Road extending east from Dove Mountain in Marana to the northern part of Oro Valley. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. On average, the Tucson airport records two days with thunderstorms. The average monthly low temperature of 72.4 established a new monthly record, eclipsing the old record of 72.3 from 2018. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 36% chance that they will end up above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. Los Angeles had near 9.50 of rainfall during the month alone with a normal amount of 2.48, which is unprecedented and will be the third highest amount during the month of December since records began, only behind 1989 and 2010. All rights reserved. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. CPC forecasts, thanks to weakening La Nia conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, probabilities leaning for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for most the remainder of the year. (100 percent delivery time) Toggle navigation. Our Office; Monsoon; Monsoon Safety; SE Arizona drought page; . The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 57% chance that they will end up above normal and a 10% chance that they will end up below normal. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 79 on the 27th to a low of 30 on the 15th & 17th. The monthly average temperature of 89.1 is 3.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 5th warmest June on record. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.90" is just over 2" below normal and ranks as the 7th driest January through June period on record. In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. Feb March 2023 . By Paul Rusnak | September 11, 2022. The previous two occurrences were in 1984 & 2010. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. The average yearly temperature of 56.8 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 27th warmest on record through the end of March. Rainfall amounts were mostly between 0.25" and 0.75". The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be up below normal and a 33% chance that they will end up above normal. Some of the storms produced heavy rain, especially on the 4th, 5th, 6th & 8th. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.23" which ranks as the 38th wettest June on record, tied with 1980. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. Flagstaff, AZ Winter Weather Forecast | AccuWeather Today WinterCast Hourly Daily Radar MinuteCast Monthly Air Quality Health & Activities Winter Storm Warning Snow and Ice Outlook 12 - 18. Amounts ranged from 4" to 9" with localized higher amounts up to 14". The metro area for most of the month remained under a favorable monsoon flow pattern that brought daily round of showers and thunderstorms which produced strong gusty winds, heavy rain and flash flooding. The MAIN PAGE of this website has every alert/article issued at current. SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from a tenth of an inch to 1" with localized areas recording between 1" and 1.60". Global emissions have grown in most years since 1900 and have accelerated over time, according to data from IEA. This is because the jet stream, or storm track, stays to the north of our area, essentially making for wetter-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest, but drier than normal conditions for the Desert Southwest. For only the third time since 1910, no temperature records were set during the first three months of the year. There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. Looking ahead into February The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. While its critics say its weather predictions are essentially a flip of the coin, Geiger said in general he has been told the forecasts are about 80% accurate and are especially on target when it comes to winter forecasts. The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. For the most part, it looks like fairly, you know, pleasant, quiet kind of weather in September and a good part of October, Geiger said. A record warm low temperature was set on the 22nd with a low of 66 breaking the record of 64 from 2016. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. So, what about this month? We are going to show you their forecast for the upcoming winter, but first, a warning. One of the strongest thunderstorms of the month hit the airport on the evening of the 23rd with a wind gust of 76 mph. In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. Click on the images below for the year, monthly and seasonal snapshots! The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.19". #azwx #cawx https://t.co/G7FkHhFGSt. How to get these alerts with a premium subscription via e-mail by micro-climate zone AND/OR Get the GPS models for all events on your device enabled? Prognostic Discussion for Long-Lead Seasonal Outlooks. BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 0.10" to 0.75 ". Rainfall amounts across the metro during the first three months of the hydrologic water year has ranged from 1.10" to 3.50". If you are a current member and NOT on a monthly plan, your Winter 2022 tier expires March 1st, but do not renew until the Spring 2022 tier is opened, which youll receive an email then. Precipitation: Below Average The average yearly temperature, through the end of October, of 74.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. But if it weakens, that could spell a colder winter for some. If you're looking forward to snow, mark January on your calendars. The possibilities are all there you just need to discover them. Nov. 17, 2022 Finally. We recognize our responsibility to use data and technology for good. Yuck. The forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. And I will say, it looks opposite of December 2021s with a different atmosphere and this is for both Southern California and Arizona Weather Force so read on for details after the first paragraph . But there's a potential curveball with La Nia this winter. Rain and snow are moving across our state as we ring in the new year. A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. Arizona Weather in Tucson Weather in Tucson in December 2022 Tucson Weather Forecast for December 2022 is based on statistical data. The water year rainfall is at the half-way mark with a paltry 2.03" being recorded. Overall, the almanac says it will be wetter than normal, the precipitation beginning in October and extending right through November. Keep in mind this outlook is an overall three-month trend. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. Click on the image to the right to see how 2022 compared to the historical record. The second Pacific storm of the month moved across the area on the 12th bringing with it widespread valley rain and mountain snow. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 2.82" which is just over eight-tenths of an inch above normal and ranks as the 34th wettest August on record. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. The previous highest amount for October was 7 days in 1983, 2000 & 2015. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. The seasonal average dew point value was 19. Add the current city. Nine Ways To Tell The Difference. Well, until it's August. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. This month a raging jet into the Pacific Northwest, which has no blocking. The zero rainfall recorded at the International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, marked the 30th time since 1895 that no measurable rain was recorded at the official site. With a colder air mass in place, high temperatures were in the 50's from the 12th through 16th with daily lows in the mid 20's to mid 30's from the 13th through the 17th. The first five months were rather dry with the airport only recording 0.67" or 2" below normal. You also get the member section, which has controllable models like rain, wind, snow, in high resolution along with a GPS feature which is updated when an event is in the area Tell us your thoughts in the comments section below, then check out how beautiful the Grand Canyon in winter is. Detailed Weather Forecast for February 8 in Az Zubayr, Mufazat al Barah, Iraq - temperature, wind, atmospheric pressure, humidity and precipitations - World-Weather.info . NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. The yearly high temperature was 111 on June 16th while the yearly low temperature was 26 on February 3rd. Two were for record highs and three were for record warm low temperatures and all of them occurred in December. This update comes as Arizona sits deep in drought. Officially the Tucson International airport recorded 1.82", which is around eight-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 48th driest Winter season on record. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. The widely followed youtube weather channel, is calling for a mixed bag of weather this upcoming winter season. The 30-year-old Musgrove is coming off the best season of his career and a stellar postseason run that included 7.0 dominant innings in a winner-take-all Wild Card Game 3 against the Mets in New York. Wildfires send smoke as temperatures near 100 degrees. Support local journalism. She attended college in the Houston area and changed her major twice (psychology, computer science, and finally criminal justice) before taking a leap of faith and dropping out to pursue a career in freelance writing. Please Contact Us. The average yearly temperature is below normal for the calendar year through the end of March for the first time since 2017 and the fourth time this century (2001 & 2013). Kristin Murphy, Deseret News Flannel, hot chocolate and snowshoes are in the winter forecast from the Farmers' Almanac, which is predicting a shivery 2022-2023 winter for most of the United States. Combined with last years August average temperature being 1.2 below normal, this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be below normal. IsArizonaa good place to visit in the winter? Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! 47.9 Degrees C is 118.2 degrees F. Wow! The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is seven-tenths of a degree above normal and ranks as the 17th warmest January on record. Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 36 F. The average Summer temperature of 88.3 is 1.2 above normal and is well shy of the two warmest Summers on record (90.0 in 2020 & 89.9 in 1994). Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.57" BELOWnormal & ranks as the 14th driest January through March period on record. Get the latest articles, videos, and news about Washington State on Flipboard. Editor's note: The above video aired during a previous year's forecast. You can go traditional with it and check out some truly delightful Christmas towns in Arizona, or you can rent a cabin in the woods and forget about life for a while as you watch snow gently fall. December climate data across southeast Arizona, Winter climate data across southeast Arizona. Winter 2021-2022 One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. It's also the ninth time February this century that the average monthly temperature was below normal. According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. It begins just at the backend. Since we never quite know what to expect, this upcoming season couldn't possibly catch us off-guard right? The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is almost two degrees below normal and ranks as the 59th warmest February on record. Climate Predictions 6-10 Days 8-14 Day Climate Probability Official 30-Day Forecast The above maps are from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. Fetch the Scottsdale, Arizona daily observations from AerisWeather. One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. The wather in Arizona in February can vary between cold and nice weather days. On your streaming device:Download 12News+ to your streaming device. The airport two-day total of 0.74" ranks as the 3rd wettest New Year's Eve/Day on record. Click Here To Join The Page Today. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.48" is 1.20" BELOWnormal and ranks as the 17th driest January/February period on record.
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